Stock Trader's Almanac 2018

Stock Trader's Almanac 2018
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The best data in the business, updated for 2018

Stock Trader's Almanac 2018 provides the cleanest historical data in the business to give traders and investors an advantage in the market. The 2018 edition is consistent with decades of the Stock Trader's Almanac showing you the cycles, trends, and patterns you need to know in order to invest with minimum risk and maximum profit. Updated with the latest numbers, this indispensable guide is organized in a calendar format to provide monthly and daily reminders, including upcoming opportunities to grab and dangers to avoid. Proprietary strategies include the Hirsch Organization's Best Six Months Switching Strategy, the January Barometer, and the Four-Year Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle, arming you with the tools savvy investors use to achieve their market goals.

Trusted by Barron's, The Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and other respected market authorities, this indispensable guide has helped generations of investors make smart market moves. This new edition provides the same level of invaluable guidance, with the latest data straight from the vault.

Access the most trusted historical market data available

Identify patterns and trends you won't find anywhere else

Get advance notice about upcoming risks and opportunities

Bring accuracy to your forecasting and confidence to your investing

Analytical tools are essential to successful investing, but they're only as useful as the data is accurate. Even the most beautifully designed model cannot forecast accurately based on incomplete, misleading, or inaccurate numbers; data quality is the bedrock of your entire investing strategy, and when it comes to data, cleanliness is next to profitability. Get the edge this year with the best data in the business, plus a wealth of valuable strategies in the Stock Trader's Almanac 2018.

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Copyright © 2018 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.

Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.



No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400, fax 978-646-8600, or on the Web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, 201-748-6011, fax 201-748-6008, or online at www.wiley.com/go/permissions.

Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and the author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifically disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor the author shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.

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ISBN: 978-1-119-38426-7 (paper)

ISBN: 978-1-119-38428-1 (ePDF)

ISBN: 978-1-119-38429-8 (ePub)

This Fifty-First Edition is respectfully dedicated to:
Louis G. Navellier

Louie is Chairman and Founder of Navellier & Associates, Inc. In 1980 he began publishing MPT Review, a stock advisory newsletter for individuals that featured his quantitative analysis on growth stocks. In 1987 he started managing private accounts for high-net-worth individuals, and shortly thereafter for public plans. Since then, Navellier & Associates has guided thousands of investors and institutions by applying its disciplined, quantitative investment process to a broad range of equity products. Louie manages approximately $2 billion in assets. He also writes six investment newsletters focused on growth investing: Blue Chip Growth, Emerging Growth, Dividend Growth, Family Trust, High Velocity Stocks and Platinum Growth. His free Stock/ETF/Dividend Grader is super handy and his free Weekly Marketmail is nonpareil. Louie is always sharing his market outlook and analysis on Bloomberg, Fox News and CNBC. Louie has been an industry stalwart for nearly 40 years. He is a true believer in and user of seasonality and market cycles. His stocks, portfolios and funds rock and he has been a great friend.

INTRODUCTION TO THE FIFTY-FIRST EDITION

Once again we have the honor of introducing the Fifty-First Edition of the Stock Trader's Almanac. The Almanac provides you with the necessary tools to invest successfully in the twenty-first century.

J. P. Morgan's classic retort, “Stocks will fluctuate,” is often quoted with a wink-of-the-eye implication that the only prediction one can make about the stock market is that it will go up, down, or sideways. Many investors agree that no one ever really knows which way the market will move. Nothing could be further from the truth.

We discovered that while stocks do indeed fluctuate, they do so in well-defined, often predictable patterns. These patterns recur too frequently to be the result of chance or coincidence. How else do we explain that since 1950 all the gains in the market were made during November through April, compared to a loss May through October? (See page 50.)

The Almanac is a practical investment tool. It alerts you to those little-known market patterns and tendencies on which shrewd professionals enhance profit potential. You will be able to forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence when you use the Almanac to help you understand:

■ How our presidential elections affect the economy and the stock market – just as the moon affects the tides. Many investors have made fortunes following the political cycle. You can be sure that money managers who control billions of dollars are also political cycle watchers. Astute people do not ignore a pattern that has been working effectively throughout most of our economic history.



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